Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
62 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-3-0
90%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R16 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
5th • 6-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Hoang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Randy Davis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
32nd • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Gold (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
39th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Win vs Charles Dunn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 15: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
29th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Round 14: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
76th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Brower (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Round 14: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
89th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
106th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Madrigal (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
15th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Brook (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
27th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Porter Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
60th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Juaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
73rd • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Sybrandt (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
93rd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erick Ortiz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
99th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Alldredge (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leon Lu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua White (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Round 14: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-0-1
80%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Matthews (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-0-1
40%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Tyler Kearney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Omar Soubra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Boudreaux (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Terrence Bell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Rojas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-1
80%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-1
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Turner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-1
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trent Lennon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Suh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Bridges (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Rea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Campbell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Porter Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thea Hognadottir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micah Johnson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Harper (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cole Pellatt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jaime bessett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igni Elegy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randy Davis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs nathan lapham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Fagalde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Turner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Lam (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Grant Juaire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edward Knight (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Welday (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chester Stallings (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Madrigal (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Canales (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Long (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Morford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zach Huey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Towne (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Rea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs CODY READY (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Franche Tan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kent O’Neal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KC Glass (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Sayer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JP Coleman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaden Grace (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaden Grace (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thea Hognadottir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Underwood (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Thorington (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-3.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Revera (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Towne (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.