FaB-Results

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at US National Championship 2025

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wyatt Schmitt
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.1
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
!!
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Evan Bridges
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Katsu, the Wanderer
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Bosco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Franche Tan
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Kano, Dracai of Aether
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Jacob Hawkinson
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Berg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zach Huey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Nick Webb
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, Marionette
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78
Pedro Esaki
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
Steven Suh
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Hoang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Carson Osborne
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.