Azalea, Ace in the Hole
39 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
6.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Lineman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Witt Lucas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Randy Davis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R16 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R17 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
88th • 8-1-0
22%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
7.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Morford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Rea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
46th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Todd Woodworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Brook (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
77th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Towne (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Herren (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
84th • 6-2-1
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Bosco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Brian Kaminsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Round 14: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
24th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
7.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Bonny (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Webb (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Flowers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 13: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
34th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
41st • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Chris Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
72nd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Todd Woodworth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Rowland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
86th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chester Stallings (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
94th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Wells (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Dakota Cook (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
92nd • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
114th • 3-6-0
78%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs joseph Ramirez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Marsack (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Douglas Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Murphy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Sayer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Kaminsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Win vs Noah Geiger (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
40%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Brook (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Victor Lam (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Dschaak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Pham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mark Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Thorington (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Colin Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Maderas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Webb (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Porcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Dabney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Lind (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Karl Kraemer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Wells (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chester Stallings (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Frank Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Conner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Dschaak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Nennich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harrison Timothy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steve Le (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Nolder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igni Elegy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Marchant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs David Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Rosario (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.