Prism, Awakener of Sol at US National Championship 2025
Prism, Awakener of Sol
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 14: Win vs Randy Davis (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Round 16: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
56th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Alldredge (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Austin Revera (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
82nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Turner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
102nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
43rd • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Salmon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
87th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 13: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
98th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Fagalde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
103rd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 12: Loss vs Johnny Wedzicha (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
116th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Adam Jessell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
dropped • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-1
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Steele (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Terrence Bell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Igni Elegy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan McGrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peyton Gage (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua White (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Campbell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Huey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hughes Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leon Lu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rogue Theory (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
20%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alyssa Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daniel Johnson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Helgeson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kent O’Neal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Nathan Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nicholas Tagg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Crowley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Rea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JP Coleman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Larsen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Underwood (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Lam (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tristen Farmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Crowley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Chilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Irvin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Cook (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Porter Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Charles Simmons (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Riddell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micah Johnson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.