Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
43 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
7.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Irvin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Chinn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 15: Win vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
68th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Chilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CODY READY (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Dunn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
96th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
110th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
6.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Irvin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 15: Win vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
100th • 4-4-1
44%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dagan White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Draw |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Brower (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Steve Le (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Perry (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs William Pistel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caden Stabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Jessell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erick Ortiz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tristen Farmer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Caleb Brower (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Robles (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trent Lennon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Witt Lucas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Morford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan McGrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyson Au (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Rea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Nolder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Kaminsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Law (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Evans (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dakota Cochran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan McGrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Bowar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Rea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Warner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis Schlagenhauf (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johny Nguyen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nathan lapham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alyssa Carden (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Seiwert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Flowers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Bowar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Chilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Micah Johnson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaden Grace (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brendan Klempa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenny Griggs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Timothy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caden Stabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Omar Soubra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Karl Kraemer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peyton Gage (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Martin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peyton Gage (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Underwood (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nathan lapham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs connor rooney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Chilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Bonny (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Christ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Strom (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Burns (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Wedzicha (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Campbell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.