Nuu, Alluring Desire at US National Championship 2025
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 9-2-0
82%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Arjun Garg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
Round 16: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 17: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R16 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R17 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
35th • 6-2-1
89%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Craig Ketchum (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matt Jacobs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
108th • 6-2-1
78%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Towne (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Hasan Abdali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
11th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Justin Law (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
47th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Carter (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alyssa Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
71st • 5-2-2
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Herren (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs connor rooney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 14: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Draw vs Hughes Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Draw |
115th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Gold (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
Round 15: Loss vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
104th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22
Round 4: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jose Badillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 14: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Rath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Rea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Rich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Anthony Perry (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leon Lu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Lind (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Sones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Alexis Cotto (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Ketchum (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs george flete (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Matthews (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Christ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Long (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Huey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Canright (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Elsey (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Luce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Cody Williams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan McGrew (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Loss vs Craig Ketchum (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nic Barnes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Brendan Klempa (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KC Glass (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.