FaB-Results

Dash I/O at US National Championship 2025

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Pacheco
78th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Larsen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Webb (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Damien Riggins
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Jacob Baugh
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Turner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Matthew Irvin
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamron Van Hulzen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hughes Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Bearden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Aaron Cutbirth
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Wells (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40
Evan Herndon
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Hong (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Burns (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Witt Lucas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Rea (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Martin Morford
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Evans (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Mint Carroll
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diego Constantakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Nuu, Alluring Desire
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Thomas Johnson-Averette
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs CODY READY (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Todd Woodworth
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Katsu, the Wanderer
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Seiwert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Christ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Simon Aguirre
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.