Fang, Dracai of Blades
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
7.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witt Lucas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JP Coleman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 12: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
105th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Pellatt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
54th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
49th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
6.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Karl Kraemer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Win vs Cody Campbell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
95th • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Will Matthews (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Loss |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Nolder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Omar Soubra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Randall Suliga (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pheano Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Seiwert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jenna Schoettker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Knight (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devon Porcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Steven Sweany (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Davison (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Thorington (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenny Griggs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs joseph Ramirez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Sayer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexis Cotto (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamen Vedova (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Botchis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenny Griggs (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Steele (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Long (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathaniel Snyder (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.