Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at US National

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Vore

33rd • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Micah Johnson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dagan White (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chase Osborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Hughes Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.25
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.79
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.46
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.16
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R14	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.70
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Theodore Raitzer

69th • 4-5-0

44%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Canales (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gary Gold (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

80:20

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.17
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Win	✗	0.84	0.89
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.32
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R14	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Christopher Iaali

91st • 3-6-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

25:75

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.12
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.30
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.56
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Brian Kaminsky

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wesley Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.36
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Christopher Little

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Frank Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.26
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60

Micah Johnson

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 16:84

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Berg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.