Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Maderas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
dropped 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Pham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Fai, Rising Rebellion
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leon Lu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Dabney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
Dash I/O
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Tickal (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Puffin, Hightail
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.