Vynnset, Iron Maiden
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
79th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexis Cotto (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
51st • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zach Huey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
59th • 4-4-1
22%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Irvin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 12: Win vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Draw vs Justin Salmon (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Draw |
111th • 3-6-0
44%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franche Tan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Pham (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Johnson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Rojas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Madrigal (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Franche Tan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Round 5: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Suh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Bradshaw (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Porter Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Brook (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Jessell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Wells (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Angus Blaxall (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Levy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Lineman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.