Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at US National Championship 2025
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
9.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Robles (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Bearden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zayne Johnson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Travis McDaniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
9.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.