Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
62 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.3
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Murnieks (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Loss vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R17 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R18 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
26th • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CODY READY (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Towne (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
106th • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Trodden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
95:5
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 96:4
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 95% | Win |
21st • 7-1-1
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Round 5: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
18th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Avila (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Marefke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Round 14: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
28th • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
42nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dean Carr (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joe Mastowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
10th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mackenzie Gordon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
29th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
45th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
55th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emi Sieting (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emery Powell (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
58th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
101st • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Doug Frauman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Loss vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 80% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
44th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 13: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
83rd • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs WILLIAM LAMPERT (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Stanko (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
76th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Sorensen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
113th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent Summerour (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 15: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
120th • 3-6-0
89%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Riley Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 12: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WILLIAM LAMPERT (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ronnie Lloyd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Volden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jade Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 96:4
Round 12: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 95% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 13: Loss vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gavin Trosclair (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Donald Stevenson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Volden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josue Olvera (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Wai Leem Au Yong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Nakata (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs WILLIAM LAMPERT (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Rotondi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy Hong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Gibby (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Summer Giles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 89:11
Round 3: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake Trenberth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seth Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Taylor Reichel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trenton Mercer (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Adam Fischer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscilio (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Bell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Nichols (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bill Fox (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cole Branson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emerson Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ty Murray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Emilio Pereira-Tosado (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Herndon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Rotondi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Putz (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hamilton Summer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Nolder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Wai Leem Au Yong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Hine (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Nilsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Abanto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Brett Merold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Carney (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Hong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Vincent (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trenton Mercer (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Kern (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derek Anderson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.