Arakni, Marionette
70 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Little (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
59th • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emerson Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
97th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Fryar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Round 14: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
40th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raj Giri (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Towne (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
67th • 6-3-0
11%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diana Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joe Santianna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
81st • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 13: Loss vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Round 15: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
98th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joe Santianna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
130th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frederick Governale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Swinford (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
31st • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
35th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Warnek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
47th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Claire Stanfield (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanner Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
69th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
79th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reese Toomre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
126th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
134th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
94th • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Rosario (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Porter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 14: Loss vs Emilio Pereira-Tosado (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
103rd • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Place (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Corrigan (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
107th • 4-5-0
11%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andre Judd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Babcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aymen Kabel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Baar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Marefke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Hall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Branson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tanner Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frederick Governale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Adams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Porter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Anderson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Duncan (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Gibby (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Starnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Hine (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Riley Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Murnieks (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josef Mendez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Rogers (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brett Merold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bill Fox (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Hastings-Crummey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Sorensen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ty Murray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Rotondi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Swinford (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Hall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Deemer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danielle Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Trosclair (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Barrett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Jade Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dean Carr (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Corrigan (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emi Sieting (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Gabel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Avila (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Morrison (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Nolder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Tayler Allen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rolando Matta Jr (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Hamilton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Donnan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diana Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travonte Johnson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Shelly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Morrison (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Nakata (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rolando Matta Jr (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harrison Deemer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan McCarthy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emerson Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Giuliani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.