Kassai of the Golden Sand
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
57th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Little (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jade Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 12: Win vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
60th • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
7.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 15: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
86th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Summer Giles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 14: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
92nd • 5-3-1
56%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rolando Matta Jr (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Stanko (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 12: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
73rd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Giuliani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
128th • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cole Branson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 13: Loss vs Gabriel Barrett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Escaler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Vincent (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Round 13: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs SEAN STELL (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Escaler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs sean Burke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Chris Morrison (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Noah Geiger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eris Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Donald Stevenson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Nolder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Slotnick (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs nathan lapham (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Chris Morrison (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs David Place (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alyssa Carden (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Corrigan (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Little (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Hamilton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.