Prism, Awakener of Sol
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
125th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Danielle Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
133rd • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-1-0
86%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlton Smith (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Gibby (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Walton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Barrett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tayler Allen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fryar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Katherine Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Wai Leem Au Yong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Nakata (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Shelly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lalo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.