Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
6.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Walton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
87th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
7.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaden Schoonover (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Round 13: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
7.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
99th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 13: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Round 5: Win vs Nick Hastings-Crummey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dean Carr (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs sean Burke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.