Vynnset, Iron Maiden
28 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
6.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Danielle Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Katherine Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
53rd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donald Stevenson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
71st • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Fay (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Round 12: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
139th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Holderbaugh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jake Trenberth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Osorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan Walton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Warnek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nathan lapham (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gerald Toms (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Aguilar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Chris Rowland (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Holderbaugh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Suh (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Geiger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Donald Stevenson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Groff (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Porter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Tickal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Montalbano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Bell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Reichel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Silvester Nava (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Fox (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-1
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Kent Summerour (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Draw |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.