US National Championship 2026 - Betsy, Skin in the Game (CC)

Betsy, Skin in the Game

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

CODY READY

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zack Phillips

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max Escaler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Emerson Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Micah Luff

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.