Valda, Seismic Impact
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
137th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Gibby (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Gabriel Barrett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Micah Luff (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seth Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Andre Judd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.