Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Fay (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Hong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R16 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Suh (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
25th • 8-1-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trent Smith (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Wood (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blake Ayotte (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
14th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emilio Pereira-Tosado (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fischer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
51st • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Porter Boroski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
17th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
70th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Murnieks (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Craig Krempels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
88th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Doug Frauman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
108th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaden Schoonover (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
117th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alex Fraser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Round 14: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
89th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Silvester Nava (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Round 12: Loss vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Gabriel Barrett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aymen Kabel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Katherine Black (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Starnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dean Carr (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seth Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mackenzie Gordon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Josue Olvera (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Wood (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Abanto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan McCarthy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alberto Rosario (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dakota Sisk (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Neet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Starnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Little (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raj Giri (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Dillon Sloat (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Jernigan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oscar Aguilar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frederick Governale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CODY READY (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Norris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Russell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.