Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
112th • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
116th • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Jake Trenberth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Liam Trodden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
131st • 4-5-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dillon Sloat (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Towne (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danielle Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Fox (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Nilsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Gudan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Murnieks (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shane Gabel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Giuliani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Hamilton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emi Sieting (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Wood (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenn Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Gabel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliott Rinke (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Axel Sisbarro (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Warnek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Rotondi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kent Summerour (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raimello Jackson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CODY READY (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raimello Jackson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Hall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Weatherholtz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brett Merold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.