Dash I/O
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 8-1-0
56%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zack Phillips (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
20th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bill Fox (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jon Gibson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
27th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
6.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chris Rowland (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
64th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
36th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grant Strom (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs David Steel (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
80th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Round 14: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
138th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Starnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
110th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Reese Toomre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
Round 12: Win vs francisco guerrero (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
135th • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
Round 15: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Taylor (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ty Murray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Miller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Micah Luff (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Corrigan (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gerald Toms (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grant Kern (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Michael Fay (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Starnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Nolder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Taylor (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Emerson Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.