Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-0-0
75%
Meta
+5.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
9.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brady Bicknell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R18 CC
Round 18: Win vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
9.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R17 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R18 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
5th • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
6.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josue Olvera (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 14: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
13th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Coons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
34th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abdul Mousa (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
61st • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Evan Groff (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eris Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
66th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscilio (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Gabel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diana Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
96th • 6-2-1
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jade Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
43rd • 5-3-1
89%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Adams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Draw |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
95th • 5-3-1
78%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Donnan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mackenzie Gordon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 12: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
16th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Aguilar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mackenzie Gordon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
37th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaden Schoonover (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Hine (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Emilio Pereira-Tosado (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
74th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jaydon Loar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
104th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
124th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Nilsson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
49th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Hong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 12: Win vs Joe Mastowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
132nd • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Bell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manoj Malipeddu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonah Markham (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tommy Chafe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trenton Mercer (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Stanko (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Irvin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riley Akers (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Trenberth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Osorio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Mejac (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Will Matthews (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raj Giri (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Bell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Gudan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Lee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Pistel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Porter Boroski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Ayotte (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xander Toepfer (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Shivers (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Matthew Tickal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs WILLIAM LAMPERT (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Draw |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Craig Krempels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Neet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 4: Win vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Sorensen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon King (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Summer Giles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Trodden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Walton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs sean Burke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andy Hong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Gabel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Claire Stanfield (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Little (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Draw |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Biros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ty Murray (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Heger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Hastings-Crummey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Hirt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Tayler Allen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alberto Rosario (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aymen Kabel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Renz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Popowich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.