Fang, Dracai of Blades
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
100th • 7-2-0
33%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
6.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Rosario (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
12th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Hamilton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Fox (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
68th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs taylor holleman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
Round 13: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
50th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaemes Chouinard (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aymen Kabel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dagan White (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
140th • 3-6-0
22%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Raimello Jackson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Fullingim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
20:80
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Norris (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Round 2: Win vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Giuliani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Hall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Bell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emilio Pereira-Tosado (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Nakata (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harrison Deemer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Hastings-Crummey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlton Smith (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Bitting (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs William Wai Leem Au Yong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Cruz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Wood (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trenton Mercer (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andre Judd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.