Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
38 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
6.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Mastowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
90:10
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
22nd • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ford (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
33rd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
48th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Becker (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Ejupi (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
114th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.2
Surp
5.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Geiger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 12: Win vs Sean Fancher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joe Mastowski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
115th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natalie Birch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Riley Thomas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
15th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Isaac Davison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs jordan johnson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
24th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Silvester Nava (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tim Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Hannan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
56th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Suh (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
109th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emi Sieting (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Markham (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
119th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Henson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Donnan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emery Powell (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Doug Frauman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Place (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Lalo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Brett Merold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Biggs (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raj Parikh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josue Olvera (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Jernigan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Espinosa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Czarny (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Markham (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andre Judd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Charles Simmons (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Winson Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darren Rennie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Allen Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Seren Roberson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cole Branson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evelyn Thomas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Danielewicz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omar Soubra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Tickal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs John Record (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evelyn Thomas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Babcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Giuliani (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brady Bicknell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Evan Groff (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Nichols (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan McCarthy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kenny Tran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Danielle Williams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hudgins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Green (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cole Branson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Nichols (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Elsey (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Mejac (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Swinford (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.