Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Las Vegas 2026
Puffin, Hightail
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Sweany (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22
Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 13: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bill Dower (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Corey Harris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Robles (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Shepert (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs gary grine (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Curtis Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Gomez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Brendon Duran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dominic Perez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Lanuzo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Malave (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachery Hill (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Villarreal (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Justin McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Turcotte (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Chang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Valenuzela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Robles (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Alldredge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brishen Jaimes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Cody Branom (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stanley Hopkins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 31:69
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs gary grine (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Pier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Nichols (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Warnek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Riley Adams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ron Bello (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Knott (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler McBride (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dustin Douglass (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Bollier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.