Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Las Vegas 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Abanto (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hugh Wang (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kent Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Pier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Villarreal (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Fontana (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daylon Mack (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Taylor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Gamboa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Perez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Herzog (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs Josh Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Levi Blue (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaden Enzbrenner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Nilsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William OBrien (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs DJ Sinibaldi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lahoci Franco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Villarreal (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ariana Loveday (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Glancy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Brown (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Samson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Keyton Adams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RANDY CHAN (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Davis Owen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Morgan Jensen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Warnek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brendon Duran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Stidger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas DeStasio (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.