Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Donati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aleksandar Bjelic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
Round 5: Win vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Round 13: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
64th • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
7.2
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Messerich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Chu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Brown (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bill Dower (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Cooper (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Blue (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Samson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julio Adame (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Round 3: Win vs Philip Lam Le (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hudgins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Round 2: Win vs Nomi Lynn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Whitcomb (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Youngjin Ki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Morgan Jensen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Potter (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aron Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Naruszewicz (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Eshelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nomi Lynn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.