Ira, Scarlet Revenger
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
31st • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Wells (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
70th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs J Ehlinger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Shepert (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cole Noblitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Barila (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Summerfield (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Huang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Shepert (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Braxton Palmer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Nilsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Julio Adame (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Branom (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Soini (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.