Fang, Dracai of Blades
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 9-4-0
23%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Goodrich (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Marefke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 9: Win vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Gray (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Nichols (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mia Cueva-Del Rosario (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gordon Schafer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Naruszewicz (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Curtis Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler McBride (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jaime bessett (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Terrence Bell (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christina Lara (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Miller (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Deven Nilsson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.