Kassai of the Golden Sand
49 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 15-1-0
62%
Meta
+6.7
Perf
7.8
Surp
7.7
Diff
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 15: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
62% (10/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+6.7 Wins (8.3 expected, 15 actual)
Surprise
7.8 total deviation
Difficulty
7.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R16 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
18th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Shanafelt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Sweany (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 11: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
23rd • 10-3-0
54%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
63rd • 8-4-1
77%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Hugh Wang (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Varun Nambikrishnan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashlee Klotz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 9: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jorell Buhay (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Win vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David McCartney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emmerson Montgomery (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Greget (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Curtis Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travonte Johnson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hudgins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Conde (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs William Hewett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ross Fontana (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Aron Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Unknown)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ross Fontana (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Sov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Knott (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Flores (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler McBride (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Darren Knopes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 8: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachery Hill (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
Round 3: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Nilsson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davis Owen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 7: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Bonny (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dolgoon Batbold (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josh Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phelipe da Hora (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Shepert (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Travonte Johnson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Min Kang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Birkan Gokbag (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Kandziolka (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Spencer Astling (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sarah Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Levi Blue (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RANDY CHAN (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashlee Klotz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Flores (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Maximiuk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peyton Gage (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Welton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Salvador Morales (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andres Jaramillo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaden Enzbrenner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs aaron leblanc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Armando Aguilar (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
Round 2: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hopkins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kent Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.