Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Conry (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Turcotte (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Whitcomb (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
32nd • 9-4-0
38%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachery Hill (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Branden Adams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kidd Bliss (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
0%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Colter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trey Herring (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Tyler McBride (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Lanuzo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dallin Wallenda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Win vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ronit Patel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs David M. Smith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Mike Williams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Jones (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Cheng (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Herzog (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sarah Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaden Grace (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Kirksey (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Cheng (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Raymond (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Dietrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.