Arakni, Huntsman
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Klundt (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenjy Jap (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason O'Mara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jay Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aiden Coakley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Conry (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sean Gray (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Nichols (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Branden Adams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Welton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs James Kandziolka (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fredrick Gamble (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Levi Blue (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Gray (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Cohea (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Ricca (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Dolgoon Batbold (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miguel Torres (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eli Barila (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Huang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Lara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorell Buhay (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Minh Tran (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis Woodward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason O'Mara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Miguel Torres (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Klundt (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julio Adame (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jay Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Orlando Valdes Santos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Glancy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenjy Jap (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andres Jaramillo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs John Luiza (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.