Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Las Vegas 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 12-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Kirksey (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Round 9: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R15 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
5th • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.6
Surp
6.1
Diff
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
71st • 7-6-0
69%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Marefke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Luiza (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Soini (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elena Kremen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Platz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Powell (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marco Gomez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs gary grine (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Round 5: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Flores (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sarah Young (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Shope (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Oberst (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Messerich (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sarraf (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Astling (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorell Buhay (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Eshelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ron Bello (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Schafer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Salvador Morales (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (0.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Donath (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.