Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Las Vegas 2026
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Zamora (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs michael mills (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs aaron leblanc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs joey lau (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tanner Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Lucka (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ian Eshelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Eaton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.