Jarl Vetreiði
58 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Celina Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Kirksey (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
12th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Tiller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Levi Blue (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
29th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Corey Harris (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ignacio Riego (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Eshelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Win vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
36th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Gray (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
54th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Conde (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
55th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gus Enger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
73rd • 7-6-0
85%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76
Round 9: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
Round 13: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (7.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Herzog (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nathan ericksen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaden Grace (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Doan (Unknown)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Morgan Jensen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ayden Dukeshier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hugh Wang (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Round 8: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyler Trim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riley Adams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Murgolo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Shope (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keyton Adams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Laws (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Alldredge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Sayer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Gareth Frechette (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Sayer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sayer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Warden (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William OBrien (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Allen Grube (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nomi Lynn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Round 3: Win vs Austin Revera (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-2
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nathan Youngblut (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keyton Adams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Lucka (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aron Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stanley Hopkins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason O'Mara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Mai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Goodrich (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Warden (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruce Xu (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Sayer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Devin Chen (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Terry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs DJ Sinibaldi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ronit Patel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Lara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Conde (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Malave (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Brown (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jay Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Cooper (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julius Gante (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kidd Bliss (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Mark Shanafelt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Draw |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gus Enger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marco Gomez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Edwin Avalos Godoy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cole Noblitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Lucka (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edwin Avalos Godoy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Celina Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Anthony Ambrose (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Perez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott Hazen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Wagoner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip martinez (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs george flete (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lahoci Franco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andy Bonny (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Trossman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Greget (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shane Cooper (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
Round 2: Loss vs Payne Ummerteskee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
Round 3: Win vs Gareth Frechette (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Conde (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Philip Lam Le (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cole Noblitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs O'Ryan Hampton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Wells (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nomi Lynn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel West (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Davis Owen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Anthony DeMeo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Laws (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Mistkawi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kidd Bliss (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Warnek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Malave (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Alldredge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.