Vynnset, Iron Maiden
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaden Grace (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Andre Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Sanders (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs CLARK Moore (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
50th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
68th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Carter Barton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nathan ericksen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
18%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dolgoon Batbold (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DJ Sinibaldi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
18% (2/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David M. Smith (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Ben Odenheimer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
12%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs sean Burke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Le (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Abanto (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Round 8: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs J Ehlinger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Huang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Cooper (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Powell (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Glancy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gareth Frechette (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Murgolo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ariana Loveday (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wilmer Aguilar Ramos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Holland (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Hopkins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jared Price (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hudson Graves (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Trepany (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Cheng (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Kindberg (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keyton Adams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip Huang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Bonny (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Knott (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Branden Nall (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mike Buttazzoni (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Sanders (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs DJ Sinibaldi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Badillo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elena Kremen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Whitcomb (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Hewett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.