Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lahoci Franco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Pier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs jaime bessett (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CLARK Moore (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Manning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Voghell (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Elena Kremen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Miller (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aron Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Branden Adams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Ezra Menchen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Otero (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.