Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
28 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David McCartney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs george flete (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Kandziolka (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 11: Win vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Julio Adame (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oren Yishai (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Branden Adams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Hazen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Towne (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Deven Nilsson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs sean Burke (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kelsey LeBaron (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Hudgins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Miguel Torres (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Buttazzoni (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-2
83%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mike Williams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Lanuzo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Klundt (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Trepany (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Garrett Hodsdon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Broten (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Marefke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Win vs nathan ericksen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Heilbronn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Hewett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edwin Avalos Godoy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Terrence Blackwell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Welton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Trossman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Renehan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Gibson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Knott (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Curtis Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dolgoon Batbold (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Omar Bouras (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs aaron leblanc (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Phillip martinez (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Hazen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Loss vs Eli Barila (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RANDY CHAN (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Greg Baroni (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Travonte Johnson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.