Valda, Seismic Impact
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Brooks Mitchell (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Conde (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
Round 6: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
Round 10: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Herzog (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 90% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Marshall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ronit Patel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Brown (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Greg Baroni (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Platz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Shanafelt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Aguilar (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Albert Irvine (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyler Trim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Naruszewicz (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Chall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Valenuzela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Sanders (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devin Chen (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Josh Hill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kelsey LeBaron (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Asa Burke (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gareth Frechette (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tahir Madyun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Markham (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Glancy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andre Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Abanto (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Palmisano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hudgins (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Goodrich (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Keyton Adams (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Gamboa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Ambrose (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Powell (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Colter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seren Roberson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.