Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
56 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peyton Gage (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mia Cueva-Del Rosario (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Shanafelt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
22nd • 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alvin Kim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Cowan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
25th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
30th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David McCartney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Miguel Torres (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Birkan Gokbag (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 13: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
34th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davis Owen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
38th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Shope (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
43rd • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brendon Duran (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Ackley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
44th • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Terrence Blackwell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fuzzy Delp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
61st • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Brown (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs michael mills (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Mistkawi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
69th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emmerson Montgomery (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Robles (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Omar Bouras (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Ricca (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bradley Cox (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
73%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Robles (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William OBrien (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylon Shiao (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Douglas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jake Torres (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dallin Wallenda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Gomez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Garrett Hodsdon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Bonny (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Rutkowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs J Ehlinger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ferrell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ayden Dukeshier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Ferraiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tanner Propst (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fernando Perez Lagunas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Wagoner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Hodsdon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bill Dower (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darren Knopes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aleksandar Bjelic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Summerfield (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Thomas Turnbull (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs Adam Lucka (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Greget (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs gary grine (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Timney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Oberst (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Terry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua DeHaan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaden Enzbrenner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Thompson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
Round 5: Loss vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Platz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachery Hill (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Zamora (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greg Baroni (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Eaton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nic Burger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Kim (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Gomez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vlad Kokhanevich (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Koehler (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Vincent (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Deven Nilsson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elena Kremen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Valenuzela (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Birkan Gokbag (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tony Le (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mia Cueva-Del Rosario (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Wells (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christina Lara (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel West (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Turcotte (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Celina Zhang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Buttazzoni (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelsey LeBaron (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ayden Dukeshier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Alexander (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel West (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs May Hayden (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Donati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seth Comstock (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Ferrell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Rim (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Summerfield (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Philip Huang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Rivera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mia Cueva-Del Rosario (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William OBrien (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Alvarez (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Soini (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jorell Buhay (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Hodsdon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.