Zyggy Starlight
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 14-2-0
62%
Meta
+6.1
Perf
7.8
Surp
6.5
Diff
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Trepany (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (10/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+6.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 14 actual)
Surprise
7.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R16 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
19th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
40th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-4-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Min Kang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Donath (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ayden Dukeshier (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aleksandar Bjelic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Sarraf (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs O'Ryan Hampton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Goodrich (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Terrence Blackwell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Chang (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14
Round 2: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Blake Meier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Lucka (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Minh Tran (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leila Catton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Summerfield (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Eaton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Gray (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nathan lapham (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Flores (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Garrett Hodsdon (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Lui (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Paris (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian fischler (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Eldridge (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Mai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Chu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Brown (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Greget (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jay Ward (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julius Gante (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Samson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David McCartney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Sanders (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Youngjin Ki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CLARK Moore (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gus Enger (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Birkan Gokbag (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Alvarez (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 24:76
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.