Dash I/O
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Alvarez (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Varun Nambikrishnan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shereena Decano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Lee (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ian Fraser (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
46th • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Keane (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs james Hoenstine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Herzog (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs DJ Sinibaldi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JJ Lisonbee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Coyle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hudson Graves (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Vance Jones (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Violet Dold (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Shanafelt (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Edward Kimble (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vlad Kokhanevich (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Vargas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kesean Edwards (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Hewett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Ortiz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Astling (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Naruszewicz (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler McBride (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Iannacone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26
Round 7: Loss vs Cole Noblitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Grossarth (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Zachery Scheidecker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Han (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teran Hancock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Braden Wooldridge (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Terrence Bell (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel West (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christian Hopkins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Cohea (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tony Le (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Kyler Trim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Kandziolka (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Moreno (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark lewis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anthony DeMeo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jared severn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Odenheimer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Archer Hyland-Taylor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando Mejia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Avalos Godoy (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Riley Adams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleksandar Bjelic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Cole Noblitt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raven Williams (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Revera (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diana Green (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.