Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
56 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Miller (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
dropped • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
dropped • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Odin Stobbe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ismael Duque (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
dropped • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Marshall (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Barta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Cole (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John-David Cottrell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-6-0
92%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Dong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hines (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Cole (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Beni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 11: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Barta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Abdul Mousa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Codi Barnett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs DJ Breithaupt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aziel Aguilar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alain Arduain (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abel Marquez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Hyneman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Payton Miles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chance Hensley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Loss vs Ender Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Winry Owen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Gomez (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs jordan johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Davis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Payton Miles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Freeman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Winry Owen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
86%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aziel Aguilar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Landon Lord (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dustin De Loach (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Landon Lord (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Pagnani (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Shull (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Wade Jones (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ismael Duque (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Cussimanio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Davis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Landon Lord (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Ugaban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Warden (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs DJ Breithaupt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Andersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Lucero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ash Buck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.