Prism, Awakener of Sol
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Codi Barnett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dawson Belk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tony Stobbe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 10: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Willman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julio Vazquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Feaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Bracken (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Raley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Lawton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trenton McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Kolby Daily (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Garrett Rayburn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 88:12
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.