FaB-Results

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at Calling: Kansas City 2025

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Addison Woodward-Parrish
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Dash I/O
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24
Jarl Vetreiði
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 80:20
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
Andrew Loberg
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 81:19
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Stobbe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 77:23
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Adrian Gebhart
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Dorinthea Ironsong
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tamren Cardwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 87:13
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
AJ Stouse
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamerin Points (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 83:17
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brendan Keithline (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Maddux Warren
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 83:17
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 59:41
Dorinthea Ironsong
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 87:13
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.