Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Gilbert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Warner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 6-6-0
25%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Montgomery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Cussimanio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Dryer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julio Vazquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 17:83
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan Keithline (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Branden Stepanski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Volden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colton Branch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Odin Stobbe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Heffley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.