Kassai of the Golden Sand
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Gilbert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Warner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 6-6-0
8%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Montgomery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
8% (1/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Cussimanio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Dryer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julio Vazquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendan Keithline (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 87:13
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Branden Stepanski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Volden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 87:13
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colton Branch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Odin Stobbe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Heffley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 85% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.