Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
Round 5: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Casey Schiller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Julio Vazquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Draw |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Montgomery (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Gilbert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs John Miranda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.