Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 19:81
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ray lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Round 11: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 2: Win vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Wynn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
Round 3: Win vs Jack Dryer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tony Stobbe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 30:70
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.