FaB-Results
Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luke Hillard
dropped • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Bravo, Showstopper
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ray lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Aidan Kwasneski
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Benjamin Fraser
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Tyler McMurray
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler To (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Gabriel Duerkop
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 73:27
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Tyler Pfaffenback
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Wynn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Eric Dundas
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Dryer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Justin Fernandes
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Matthew Lucero
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tony Stobbe (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jarron Idleman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.